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South China Sea in 2024 - 2025: “Strong Currents” on Multiple Fronts

In 2024, the South China Sea experienced remarkable developments across various dimensions. Some claimants solidified their marine claims and enhanced transparency in on-site operations compared to 2023. The scope and intensity of on-site tensions expanded, especially as Chinese and Philippine forces repeatedly clashed at strategic locations such as Second Thomas Shoal, Scarborough Shoal, Sabina Shoal,...

05/01/2025

US Military Aids Under President Drawdown Authority for Taiwan: Potential Hurdle and Regional Implications

On 23 December, the United States announced a USD 571.3m military aid package for Taiwan under the President Drawdown Authority (PDA), which is the US third military aid package for Taiwan under the PDA to date. While this mechanism seemingly allows the US to strengthen Taiwan’s defense in a more drastic and effective manner, in practice PDA military aids might not meet expectations, while having a...

11/01/2025

Trump 2.0 and the South China Sea: Strategic Stability, Tactical Adjustments

U.S. policy related to the South China Sea (SCS), influenced by multiple domestic and international factors, is embedded within the broader framework of U.S. policy toward China and the region. Under Trump 2.0, such a policy is anticipated to experience significant changes, thus prompting some unresolved questions on whether the SCS issue will remain salient in U.S. foreign policy. If yes, then in...

10/02/2025